Greenock Morton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 4
PAR
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 3
ARB
63%
22%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 1
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RAI
3 - 2
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
ELG
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
EAS
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
ELG
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
ELG
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |