Greenock Morton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
PET
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STR
0 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STI
0 - 2
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ELG
3 - 2
STI
69%
18%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ELG
3 - 5
ROS
17%
21%
63%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 1
ELG
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ELG
4 - 5
BLA
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ELG
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -2 |