Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
CLY
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
KIL
1 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
EAS
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
STR
3 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CUM
83%
12%
4%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 1
STE
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
5 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 4
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |