Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
STJ
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
QOS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
ROS
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 3
DUN
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 2
QOS
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
AIR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |