Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 4
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 1
GRE
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
QOS
0 - 1
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
STM
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HIB
1 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 2
ALL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
DUM
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 2
QOS
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
STM
1 - 2
DUM
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |