Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
STJ
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CWB
5 - 1
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
HAM
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 2
ALL
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 1
CWB
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 0
CWB
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 4
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |