Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-9
Greenock Morton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
GRE
5 - 1
ARB
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
KIL
1 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHL
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 1
WHU
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
QPR
0 - 4
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
COV
0 - 1
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |