Greenock Morton vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
QOS
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ROS
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 1
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
FAL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
GLA
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 0
HAM
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
RAP
3 - 3
CEL
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |