Greenock Morton vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 0
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
STM
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
BLA
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
QOS
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
STJ
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
9 - 0
STF
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
FOR
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 2
BRE
33%
25%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |