Greenock Morton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
5º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
4 - 1
EDI
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 1
GRE
62%
20%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
STR
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 3
GRE
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
STM
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AYR
6 - 0
ALL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 2
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
AYR
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 0
STE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STI
1 - 1
AYR
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |