Cup 1/16
Global 7-4
Greenock Morton vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 0
CWB
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ROS
2 - 2
GRE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 2
GRE
34%
24%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 2
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BEJ
3 - 4
AIR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 3
AIR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PET
5 - 1
AIR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 2
BEJ
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |