Green Island vs Otago University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
61.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GIA
1 - 0
QPA
37%
21%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
GIA
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 15
CHR
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
DUN
44%
21%
36%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
OTU
12%
15%
74%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROW
1 - 0
OTU
31%
21%
49%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 4
OTU
17%
17%
66%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
OTU
0 - 4
GIA
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WNK
3 - 3
OTU
23%
19%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |