Green Island vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
46.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
OTU
0 - 4
GIA
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GIA
2 - 3
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 0
GIA
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 3
CHR
34%
21%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
3 - 1
GIA
52%
20%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 6
NSF
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 1
NSF
90%
7%
2%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 4
NSF
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NSF
2 - 2
NOM
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NSF
4 - 0
RAA
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |