Green Island vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
GIA
68%
16%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
6 - 2
GIA
29%
20%
52%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIA
94%
4%
2%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 6
CAS
4%
9%
87%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 6
CHR
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |