Green Island vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
78%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
49
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
DUN
44%
21%
36%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
EAS
35%
24%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
0 - 1
USP
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
0 - 3
CHR
30%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |