Green Gully Cavaliers vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 3
HEU
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 2
GRE
10%
16%
74%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
GRE
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 4
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
BUL
0 - 1
GRE
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 0
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
OAK
1 - 0
SOU
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
ELS
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
STA
0 - 2
SOU
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HEU
1 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |