Green Gully Cavaliers vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 1
AVH
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
2 - 2
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
GRE
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAS
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 0
AVH
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HUM
2 - 0
PAS
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 2
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAS
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |