Green Gully Cavaliers vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
DAC
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
HUM
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
MEL
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 4
HEU
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
BEN
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |