Green Gully Cavaliers vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
14º
7º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
HUM
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
6 - 2
MCF
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 7
GRE
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 2
GRE
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
3 - 2
MCF
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 2
DAN
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 3
AVH
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 2
DAN
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 6
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |