Green Boys vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
RUM
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KOE
5 - 5
GRE
52%
22%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
USH
5 - 2
GRE
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
OBE
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BBM
2 - 3
GRE
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
YBD
3 - 2
ERP
32%
24%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ERP
5 - 3
UKT
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ERP
4 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
USM
1 - 2
ERP
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
ERP
2 - 1
COL
81%
13%
7%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |