Greece U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
ENG
31%
26%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 0
GRC
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 1
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
CYP
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
MKD
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CPV
87%
10%
4%
|
74 | 7 | 67 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
SUI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |