Greece U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
GRC
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
GRC
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
GRC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GRC
4 - 1
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |