Greece U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GRC
3 - 1
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
3 - 0
GRC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GRC
2 - 1
TUR
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 1
GRC
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
GRC
5 - 1
SWE
44%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 1
MNE
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 0
NOR
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 2
ENG
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 1
CRO
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
LVA
1 - 3
CRO
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |