Greece U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
GRC
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
GRC
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
GRC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GRC
4 - 1
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
CRO
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
CRO
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BIH
3 - 3
CRO
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |