UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Greece U21 vs Czechoslovakia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
HUN
2 - 2
GRC
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1987 |
GRC
2 - 0
POL
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1987 |
GRC
5 - 1
CYP
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
0 - 4
GRC
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
GRC
2 - 1
HUN
55%
22%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
CSK
1 - 1
DEN
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1986 |
CSK
4 - 4
ISL
74%
16%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
ISL
0 - 4
CSK
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1986 |
FIN
3 - 2
CSK
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |