Greece U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
GRC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 0
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
GRC
1 - 0
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
CZE
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
CZE
3 - 0
GRC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SRB
4 - 1
BGR
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
BGR
3 - 1
CMR
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
BGR
0 - 1
SWE
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MNE
2 - 0
BGR
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ISR
4 - 0
BGR
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |