Greece U21 vs Bosnia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
4 - 5
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 3
GRC
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GRC
2 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
AUT
3 - 2
GRC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 2
GRC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CYP
2 - 1
BIH
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BIH
5 - 1
CYP
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 0
BIH
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
BIH
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MNE
3 - 1
BIH
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |