Greece U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 3
GRC
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GRC
2 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
AUT
3 - 2
GRC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 2
GRC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GRC
2 - 3
BLR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 8
GER
8%
14%
79%
|
78 | 19 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 0
BIH
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 1
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
GER
7 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 20 | 57 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GER
4 - 1
CYP
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |