Greece U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GRC
0 - 3
MNE
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
BIH
2 - 5
GRC
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GRC
3 - 3
MEX
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
GRC
3 - 3
SRB
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 1
GRC
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 0
BIH
74%
15%
10%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 0
MNE
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UKR
3 - 2
ITA
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
NIR
0 - 3
ITA
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |