Greece U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
GRC
3 - 1
RUS
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
GRC
2 - 1
NED
44%
24%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GRC
1 - 2
MDA
82%
13%
6%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
5 - 1
LUX
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 1
GRC
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 2
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 0
SWE
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
CRO
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
8%
17%
75%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |