Municipal Grecia vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
8º
6º
1
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
7 | 34 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 33 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 31 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 30 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 27 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 27 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 25 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 25 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 22 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 18 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 16 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 11 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
26% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
JFC
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
COF
6 - 2
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 4
MRP
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 0
GRE
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAR
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DUF
3 - 3
ADC
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 3
JFC
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COF
3 - 3
ADC
65%
19%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
ADC
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 4
MRP
31%
24%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |