Grebbestad vs Gauthiod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
7º
6º
30
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
GRE
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
BKF
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
GRE
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
YIK
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
AUI
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAU
6 - 0
SKS
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
IKZ
0 - 6
GAU
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 4
SKO
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
GAU
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SKS
1 - 1
GAU
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |