Grebbestad vs Ahlafors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
5º
31
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 59 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 40 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 38 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 26 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
42.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 21 |
14º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 1
GRE
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SKO
3 - 1
GRE
63%
18%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
IKZ
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SKS
4 - 1
GRE
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AIF
3 - 4
LID
59%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 0
AIF
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TIK
1 - 2
AIF
44%
23%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
QVI
1 - 2
AIF
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AIF
0 - 2
OSK
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |