Grbalj vs Nikšić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
8º
0
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 2
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 2
BER
33%
25%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 3
FKM
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
GRB
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
KOM
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BOK
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 1
IGA
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
5 - 0
OFK
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |