Grbalj vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
GRB
0 - 1
BUD
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
GRB
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GRB
5 - 0
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SUT
0 - 2
GRB
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GRB
1 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
LOV
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MOG
0 - 0
MOR
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BUD
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
MOG
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |