Grbalj vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RUD
1 - 0
GRB
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GRB
5 - 0
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GRB
4 - 3
MLA
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DEC
1 - 3
GRB
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GRB
0 - 0
SUT
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BUD
0 - 2
MOR
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
RUD
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
RUD
6 - 1
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BER
1 - 2
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
DEC
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |