Grbalj vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
BUD
1 - 0
GRB
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZET
2 - 1
GRB
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GRB
1 - 1
BOK
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
GRB
0 - 0
BUD
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BUD
2 - 3
GRB
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 2
BER
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
ZET
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BOK
5 - 0
MOG
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 2
BUD
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MLA
1 - 2
MOG
64%
19%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |