Grbalj vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRB
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
5 - 0
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BUD
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RUD
4 - 3
GRB
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SUT
0 - 2
LOV
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 0
LOV
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |