Grbalj vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
8º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
GRB
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 0
MLJ
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 1
GRB
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 1
BOK
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 1
OFK
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
OUL
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
3 - 0
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
4 - 0
OUL
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |