Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 7-2
Grazer AK vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
RBS
1 - 2
GRA
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
TIR
1 - 5
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
1 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
AWM
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 2
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
TIR
1 - 5
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
TIR
3 - 0
DTB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
DTB
3 - 0
TIR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ELB
2 - 1
TIR
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
TIR
0 - 1
LUS
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |