Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MAT
0 - 0
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
SWB
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 4
GRA
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
RBS
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
AUS
0 - 1
GRA
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
AWM
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RBS
5 - 0
STR
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RAP
2 - 0
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
STR
1 - 1
SWB
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |