Europa League 1/64
Global 4-2
Grazer AK vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
AUS
5 - 2
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
3 - 1
RAP
49%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
4 - 0
KLA
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
RAP
2 - 1
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
GRA
3 - 0
SWB
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FUT
1 - 0
TNV
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
TNV
2 - 2
SEN
79%
14%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
TNV
2 - 0
VLZ
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
DUB
1 - 0
TNV
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
TNV
1 - 0
NIT
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |