Grays Athletic vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LEA
3 - 0
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
6 - 0
HUL
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
STA
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
BOG
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
5 - 0
BIG
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
HEN
33%
24%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIN
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
KIN
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 1
CAN
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 3
KIN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |