Grays Athletic vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
HEN
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ENF
2 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIN
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
BOG
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
HAR
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 2
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 5
ENF
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |