Grays Athletic vs Harlow Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 1
GRA
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 3
LOW
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
BUR
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NEE
5 - 1
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MER
6 - 1
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOW
4 - 0
HAR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
5 - 1
NEE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 2
HAR
38%
24%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 0
HAR
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |