Gravelines vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UJA
2 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NOI
4 - 1
GRA
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AMI
1 - 0
GRA
52%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 2
CAE
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
CAE
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
5 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 3
NOI
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |