Gravelines vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
ROU
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 3
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
SAN
23%
25%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AMI
3 - 3
GRA
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
OIS
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
POI
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
AVI
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 1
AVI
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 1
PSG
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |