Graus vs UD Fraga B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Graus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ASJ
2 - 2
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 3
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
ALB
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
GRA
11%
16%
74%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
JHU
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fraga B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
BOL
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
FRA
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PES
0 - 4
FRA
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
JHU
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
FRA
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |