Grasshopper II vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
7º
2º
10
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 50 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 50 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 43 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 40 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 40 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 36 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
DIE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KRE
5 - 3
GRA
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
TAV
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
CON
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
SCH
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
CON
14%
20%
67%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
DIE
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |