Grasshopper II vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
7º
2º
8
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 50 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 50 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 43 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 40 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 40 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 36 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
DIE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KRE
5 - 3
GRA
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
TAV
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
YFJ
29%
24%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAN
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAS
50%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 4
SOL
12%
18%
70%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 2
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCM
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |